OC娛樂城帶您洞察賠率背後的訊息
1. 勝利賠率:隱含實力差距
勝利賠率反映了球隊在比賽中獲勝的機率。一支被賦予較低勝利賠率的球隊通常被認為實力更強,因此在投注時下注金額的倍數較小。例如,如果一支球隊的勝利賠率為1.50,這意味著下注100元贏得的獎金僅為150元。這類賠率可能在大比分優勢或實力差距較大的比賽中出現。
2. 平局賠率:平衡實力對抗
平局賠率表示比賽中兩隊打平的機率。它在實力相當的對戰中往往比其他賠率較高,因為實力相近的球隊往往難以分出勝負。例如,平局賠率為3.00,意味著下注100元贏得的獎金將是300元。這種賠率在懸念重重的比賽中較為常見。
3. 失敗賠率:挑戰現實可能性
失敗賠率是對球隊輸球的機率評估。這些賠率在一些強弱懸殊的比賽中可能相對較低,因為較強的球隊輸球的可能性較小。然而,在平衡實力的比賽中,失敗賠率可能較高,因為實力相當的球隊輸球的可能性相對較大。
A bookmaker strives to accept bets on the outcome of an event in the right proportions in order to make a profit regardless of which outcome prevails. See Dutch book and coherence (philosophical gambling strategy). This is achieved primarily by adjusting what are determined to be the true odds of the various outcomes of an event in a downward fashion (i.e. the bookmaker will pay out using his actual odds, an amount which is less than the true odds would have paid, thus ensuring a profit).[3]
The odds quoted for a particular event may be fixed but are more likely to fluctuate in order to take account of the size of wagers placed by the bettors in the run-up to the actual event (e.g. a horse race). This article explains the mathematics of making a book in the (simpler) case of the former event. For the second method, see Parimutuel betting. (資料來源)
賠率的變動:賽事進展的真實反映
世足賠率是根據比賽前的資訊和預測設定的,但隨著比賽的進展,賠率也會隨之變動。例如,如果某支不被看好的球隊在比賽中取得早期領先,他們的勝利賠率可能會下降,因為他們展現了出色的表現。同樣地,如果實力較強的球隊在比賽中處於被動局面,其勝利賠率可能會上升。賠率的變動反映了比賽實際情況,也為投注者提供了即時的參考依據。
In settling winning bets either decimal odds are used or one is added to the fractional odds: this is to include the stake in the return. The place part of each-way bets is calculated separately from the win part; the method is identical but the odds are reduced by whatever the place factor is for the particular event (see Accumulator below for detailed example). All bets are taken as ‘win’ bets unless ‘each-way’ is specifically stated. All show use of fractional odds: replace (fractional odds + 1) by decimal odds if decimal odds known. Non-runners are treated as winners with fractional odds of zero (decimal odds of 1). Fractions of pence in total winnings are invariably rounded down by bookmakers to the nearest penny below. Calculations below for multiple-bet wagers result in totals being shown for the separate categories (e.g. doubles, trebles etc.), and therefore overall returns may not be exactly the same as the amount received from using the computer software available to bookmakers to calculate total winnings. (資料來源)
小結
世足賽的賠率是一個複雜的體系,其背後涵蓋了多方面的因素。從過去表現到球員陣容,再到場地優勢,這些賠率的設定不僅是科學的預測,更是賽事的故事。對於投注者來說,深入了解這些賠率背後的含義,可以幫助他們更明智地選擇投注對象,享受世足賽帶來的娛樂和刺激。